Category Archives: Safety Investigations

Alternative Analysis Recommendations, Conclusions Aviation Disasters

UAE 521, 3 August 16 at Dubai Int’l

Looking at the last few entries of the  flight aware track log for UAE 521, showing significant wind shear is of interest. The Dubai  Int’l weather reported in the Metar is also of interest.     http://flightaware.com/live/flight/UAE521/history/20160803/0435Z/VOTV/OMDB/tracklog Metar     OMDB 030900Z … Continue reading

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Just Culture Arguments

Advocating for a Just Culture, without referencing the logic of a larger safety, legal and administrative contextual framework can take on the appearance of advocating for an exemption to all the laws of all the nations that have developed over … Continue reading

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How Unusuality and Reality Intersect in Flight Safety: A Simple Metric for Determining Major Hazards to Commercial Flight Operations from the Unremarkable Accumulation of Minor Unfavorable Elements and a Recommended Operations Adjustment Procedure to Avoid Mishap Occurrence

Abstract: The cascading collection of seemingly minor unfavorable elements during a particular commercial flight can often arouse little notice because there may be no collective safety measuring system or metric to assemble disparate elements. However, just as the story of … Continue reading

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UPS1354 at Birmingham, AL BHM

UPS1354 crash BHM The all weather runway at BHM was closed by some one in ATC at the request of the field electrical maintenance office. This was done on a scheduled basis, ahead of time, probably in writing. Why did … Continue reading

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Air Asia 8501 Crash: Cause is No Mystery-Thunderstorms Can Kill

In the 1931 novel “Night Flight” by Saint-Exupéry, we learn that even intrepid pioneering aviation heroes in the end are not match for thunderstorms in Patagonia.  We find out that thunderstorms can and will kill. We loose the wonderful hero … Continue reading

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Qantas Weight and Balance: Don’t Scrape Your Tail, Instead Hold Your Nose Steady

The below cited flight safety story contains a reference to an ATSB report, about which I have a comment. The story alleges that the report cites an incorrect weight and balance calculation as the problem. They say, “This meant that … Continue reading

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MH370-Were there Hazardous Materials Loaded into the Cargo Hold?

The question of hazardous materials being carried on passenger aircraft has arisen in the quest to determine what happened to MH370. But very little information has surfaced concerning the cargo that was loaded by Malaysian Airlines into MH370. So the … Continue reading

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MH370 Solved?: Did Antenna Bracket Failure Rip Open Fuselage Hole?

Did an unfinished FAA/Boeing Air Safety Directive or AD doom MH370? Reinforcement to the fuselage mounting bracket for certain radio antennae on B777 aircraft may have been required by a recent FAA AD. However completion was allowed for an extended … Continue reading

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Battery Cargo Lobbyists Victorious over Commercial Aviation Safety? What Happened to MH370?

Though ticketed passengers did not suspect, battery lobbyists had been victorious over the very best commercial aviation safety advocates. Through private meetings, where financial benefits of shipping dangerous lithium batteries to the battery industry by air freight are fostered, did … Continue reading

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MH 370 and UPS 6 near Dubai, 2010: Same Mishap Repeated?

When UPS 6 crashed near Dubai in the evening of September 3, 2010,  (www.gcaa.gov.ae/…/2010-Interim%20R.) (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UPS_Airlines_Flight_6) the crew had been in a battle for their lives for about 20 minutes. Upon first realizing cargo area temperatures were rising and that smoke … Continue reading

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