Safety Forecast and Planning: Miller’s Formula for Safety Risk


CASS2003 Forecast and Plans

This Microsoft Powerpoint presentation is a lot of fun to watch, but it also delivers the safety forecast message that all safety managers can and should create their own safety forecast and their own local safety plan based on that forecast.

In addition Miller’s formula for Safety Risk is provided. You will get to see how Safety Risk (Z)  equals Probability (X) times Severity (Y) and have a look at a 3D plot of Z=XY. Other Miller Safety Rules, Theorems and Corollaries are presented.

Let me know what you think by posting a comment or emailing me:

I look forward to hearing from you.


Which way should we go?


Published by Capt. Paul Miller

Aviation safety expert with 43 years in the sky

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