CASS2003 Forecast and Plans This Microsoft Powerpoint presentation is a lot of fun to watch, but it also delivers the safety forecast message that all safety managers can and should create their own safety forecast and their own local safety plan based on that forecast. In addition Miller’s formula for Safety Risk is provided.Continue reading “Safety Forecast and Planning: Miller’s Formula for Safety Risk”
Category Archives: Safety Forecasts and Plans
How Good is your Ability to Observe?
A person I knew stated, “We learn on how to prevent mishaps by deriving from the investigations stemming from mishaps.” I agree that we learn by observing the mistakes that are made. That being said, I would add that we actually have a more superior ability to observe these mistakes as they are made onContinue reading “How Good is your Ability to Observe?”
Flawless operation or a Mishap Free Operation: What Should You aim for?
It has been said, “You seem to be convinced that a flawed world can be actually made flawless.” My response is this. Human error is part of our nature. However we can make our own flight operations mishap free by remembering Miller’s Rule for Safety Management: ALL SAFETY IS LOCAL. Any one safety manager cannotContinue reading “Flawless operation or a Mishap Free Operation: What Should You aim for?”
Just Culture: Why is Jailing Pilots a surprise?
Does not the person in charge of any vessel or organization bear some legal responsibility? If so, why would anyone be surprised to see a pilot jailed following an accident? Are we really just seeing the terribly weak legal profession just beginning to realize how much work has gone undone in the past 70 years.Continue reading “Just Culture: Why is Jailing Pilots a surprise?”
Flawed Investigations?
I cite a flawed investigation as the cause for re-occurrence because in aviation you have one chance to get it right. You must gather the right facts, gather the right testimony, analyze the data, reach the correct conclusions and create recommendations for corrective actions. In the process you will find human error or human factors.Continue reading “Flawed Investigations?”
Human Error and Training
I certainly can see why airlines with good safety records have vigorous training programs, and in many if not in most cases of mishaps, if not in all cases, human error should be found as the cause of the mishap. Let’s examine the AF Toronto mishap. Human Error: crew continued approach and landing during adverseContinue reading “Human Error and Training”
Flaw Free or Mishap Free Operations?
We can forecast by learning from the mishaps of other organizations. We learn by observing the mistakes that are made. That being said, I would add that we actually have a more superior ability to observe these mistakes as they are made on the line and before they contribute to a mishap. Did you knowContinue reading “Flaw Free or Mishap Free Operations?”
How the NTSB, FAA and BEA Add to the Aviation Disaster Tragedy
Safety Mishap Investigations are intended to prevent the same mishap from ever happening again, from ever reoccurring. But what often really does go on during the investigations conducted by NTSB, FAA, BEA, ATSB and other national boards around the world? Here is my opinion, here is a look into what often goes on in theContinue reading “How the NTSB, FAA and BEA Add to the Aviation Disaster Tragedy”
Grim Safety Forecast for Air France
The recommendation is contained in the latest BEA accident report investigating the loss of the Air France Flight 447, a document that outlines 10 new safety recommendations, including improved pilot stall-awareness training, the inclusion of cockpit cameras, and adding angle-of-attack readouts in the cockpit. But it’s the inclusion of a call for mandatory data streamingContinue reading “Grim Safety Forecast for Air France”
AF447 Investigation Fails to Deter Future Mishaps
It is with great sadness that I note the issuance of BEA’s recommendation for new data streaming requirements for all pax acft. In other words, BEA is saying, “To help us reduce our costs in locating the next accident site, we would like all of you to stream your DFDR.” Well, that pretty much sumsContinue reading “AF447 Investigation Fails to Deter Future Mishaps”
Safety Forecast 