Passengers on domestic US airlines are now at an increased risk of being crashed into by sleepy cargo pilots. Lawyers at the FAA used case law, negligence reasoning and other historically based legal records to reach a regulatory milestone, aligning with lawyers at large US based package express and airborne freight haulers. The FAA pointedContinue reading “US Passengers at Risk by FAA Fatigue Rule”
Category Archives: Safety Forecasts and Plans
Safety versus Everything Else not SMS
Safety Managers can sort through legalities by remembering what safety is and what safety is not. Safety is about prevention, human factors, reporting and investigating, fixing the problem, communicating and looking forward. Safety is not about criminal law, civil law, administrative law or regulatory law; it is not about public administration or zoning around airports.Continue reading “Safety versus Everything Else not SMS”
Safety Purpose vs the Legal Purpose: Why the Safety Purpose Works: are you looking and leading forward or backward?
Safety Purpose vs the Legal Purpose: Why the Safety Purpose Works: are you looking and leading forward or backward? The Safety Purpose seeks the cause of mishaps and tries to determine procedures to immediately and forever prevent a re-occurrence. The Legal Purpose on the other hand attempts to find fault or blame for injury andContinue reading “Safety Purpose vs the Legal Purpose: Why the Safety Purpose Works: are you looking and leading forward or backward?”
Is Safety Guilding the Lily or Is Safety Making Necessary Operational Improvements?:Who has the better argument?
I think that we have to rethink this logic ladies and gentlemen. Safety recommendations do one very special thing that no other recommendation does. Safety recommendation give us SOP modifications, checklists and limitations that help us to do our operation more correctly. Some of you may say, “Don’t you mean more safely?” I would respondContinue reading “Is Safety Guilding the Lily or Is Safety Making Necessary Operational Improvements?:Who has the better argument?”
Cost and Benefit Analysis vs Successful Safety Programs: Is the FAA and A4A Using Flawed Logic to Manage Safety Improvements? Do Pilots Actually Know Safety Better?
Air Transport Association (ATA), or now Airlines for America (A4A) and the FAA can not claim all of the credit for the huge improvement in airline safety over the last decade in my opinion. As a matter of fact and record, both the FAA and ATA now A4A, opposed, and opposed with great vigor, virtuallyContinue reading “Cost and Benefit Analysis vs Successful Safety Programs: Is the FAA and A4A Using Flawed Logic to Manage Safety Improvements? Do Pilots Actually Know Safety Better?”
AF 447 and AF Global Operations Center: Is there a Connection?
Airline Dispatch Office at the airline global operations center has current satellite imagery in real time of weather along the route of all flights. I wonder if any manager at the home office has yet been able to put two and two together and say, “Ah HA!! So that is why we have all ofContinue reading “AF 447 and AF Global Operations Center: Is there a Connection?”
Is SMS Working to Make Your Company Better?
Safety is like virtue, in that safety is its own reward. Here are a few additional self audit questions that supplement those provided as policy guidance by Flight Safety Foundation President Bill Voss [in the May 2012 edition of AeroSafety World http://flightsafety.org/aerosafety-world-magazine/current-issue%5D: 1. Is a safety program valuable and working or is it a wellContinue reading “Is SMS Working to Make Your Company Better?”
Welcome New Subscribers
I want to add a special welcome to new subscribers. Your readership is highly valued. It is the intention of Safety Forecast to look ahead of operations and find hazards. With this information the next intention of Safety Forecast is to encourage immediate responses to counter the hazard, interim remediations to adjust procedures and longContinue reading “Welcome New Subscribers”
Bad Math from ICAO?
ICAO may be fostering bad mishap math. ICAO is stating that an increase in mishaps is attributable to an increase in flight operations. If that were so mathematically, than as any airline operated more flights and or flew more hours, their mishap rate would directly increase. But that is not the case anecdotaly, statistically, caseContinue reading “Bad Math from ICAO?”
More Questions Asked by Flight Crew Members Regarding AF 447
More questions have been raised by fellow safety minded pilots regarding AF Flight 447. Here are several: 1. Why were they flying through that nasty convective weather? 2. Why did the captain leave the cockpit just prior to the flight’s arrival to this area? With respect to the questions asked, here is my take. 1.Continue reading “More Questions Asked by Flight Crew Members Regarding AF 447”
Safety Forecast 